UBS asks:

How many job openings in the US will the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report for June 2024?

Started Apr 03, 2024 02:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC

Amid higher interest rates, job openings in the US have fallen in in the past year but remained at historically elevated levels as of February 2024 (AP). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2024 and the outcome determined using BLS data as first reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database for June 2024, expected in July 2024 (FRED, BLS - JOLTS Release Schedule). As of the launch of this question, the total number of job openings reported for June 2023 was 9,125 (in thousands), or 9.125 million.

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The question closed "At least 8.0 million, but fewer than 8.5 million" with a closing date of 1 July 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 6.5 million 1%
At least 6.5 million, but fewer than 7.0 million 1%
At least 7.0 million, but fewer than 7.5 million 13%
At least 7.5 million, but fewer than 8.0 million 36%
At least 8.0 million, but fewer than 8.5 million 36%
At least 8.5 million, but fewer than 9.0 million 9%
At least 9.0 million, but fewer than 9.5 million 3%
9.5 million or more 1%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 56
Average for questions older than 6 months: 193
Number of Forecasts 166
Average for questions older than 6 months: 554
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.08634
2.
-0.083962
3.
-0.082637
4.
-0.079897
5.
-0.077933

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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