The Economist asks:

When will the leaders of China, Japan, and South Korea next hold a trilateral meeting in person?

Started Apr 05, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC

While a trilateral meeting between Japan, South Korea, and the US is reportedly planned for July 2024, efforts are reportedly still underway to restart once-regular trilateral meetings between the leaders of China, Japan, and South Korea, though December 2023 came and went despite South Korea having reportedly proposed a meeting for that month (Economist, Global Times, US News & World Report, Deutsche Welle). The location of the meeting is immaterial, so long as all three leaders are in the same room. A meeting held in concert with another event (e.g., G20 summit, state visit) would count so long as a meeting is held with the three leaders among themselves and their own respective entourages. For the purposes of this question, the leaders of Japan and South Korea are the prime minister and president, respectively, and a meeting without either leader would not count. As of the launch of this question, Li Qiang was the incumbent Premier of China, and Xi Jinping was the incumbent President of China. A meeting without either China's premier or president would not count, and a meeting with both China's premier and president would close "and the President of China will represent China."

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Before 1 July 2024, and the Premier of China will represent China 77.00% +0.47% +8.00% +43.60%
Before 1 July 2024, and the President of China will represent China 2.47% -0.03% +1.47% -2.05%
Between 1 July 2024 and 30 September 2024, and the Premier of China will represent China 3.50% -0.22% -4.50% -10.82%
Between 1 July 2024 and 30 September 2024, and the President of China will represent China 1.91% 0% -2.09% -6.65%
No meeting will take place before 1 October 2024 15.13% -0.21% -2.87% -24.07%

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