The Economist asks:

Will Nikol Pashinyan cease to be the prime minister of Armenia before 1 October 2024?

Started Apr 05, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC

Fallout from Azerbaijan's September 2023 conquest of Nagorno-Karabakh, a region in Azerbaijan with an ethnic Armenian majority, continues to put heavy pressure on Armenia's government (Economist, AP, Politico). Pashinyan staying on in a caretaker prime minister role subsequent with his resignation as prime minister would still count as Pashinyan ceasing to be prime minister (Constitution of Armenia, see Article 149, France24).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week
Yes 42.04% +4.16% +2.34%
No 57.96% -4.16% -2.34%

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