Will Serbia notify the Secretary General of the Council of Europe of its intention to withdraw from the organization before 18 June 2024?
Closed Jun 18, 2024 07:01AM UTC
On 27 March 2024, a committee of the Council of Europe, a human rights organization, voted to recommend that Kosovo be granted membership (Balkan Insight, Council of Europe). Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić threatened to pull Serbia out of the Council of Europe if Kosovo is granted membership (Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, Eunews). Per Article 7 of the Statute of the Council of Europe, a member "may withdraw by formally notifying the Secretary General of its intention to do so" (Statute of the Council of Europe).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "No" with a closing date of 18 June 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | |
| No | 100% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 37 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 171 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 81 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 444 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
