Will Serbia notify the Secretary General of the Council of Europe of its intention to withdraw from the organization before 18 June 2024?

Started Apr 05, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 18, 2024 07:01AM UTC

On 27 March 2024, a committee of the Council of Europe, a human rights organization, voted to recommend that Kosovo be granted membership (Balkan Insight, Council of Europe). Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić threatened to pull Serbia out of the Council of Europe if Kosovo is granted membership (Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, Eunews). Per Article 7 of the Statute of the Council of Europe, a member "may withdraw by formally notifying the Secretary General of its intention to do so" (Statute of the Council of Europe).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 0.75% -0.25% -0.25% -11.52%
No 99.25% +0.25% +0.25% +11.52%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username