SE_Meyer asks:

Will Ramzan Kadyrov cease to be the Head of the Chechen Republic before 1 November 2024?

Started Apr 26, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC

Reports of health problems for Kadyrov, the Head of the Chechen Republic and close ally of Vladimir Putin, have led to speculation that he may leave the position or be replaced (Moscow Times, Politico, Guardian). The Head of the Chechen Republic is an office akin to a presidency (Constitution of Chechnya via Archive.org, see Article 63 [in Russian]). Any temporary exercise of the Head of the Chechen Republic's duties by others according to Article 76 would not count.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 26.31% -6.54% -3.94% -9.05%
No 73.69% +6.54% +3.94% +9.05%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username