UBS asks:

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on 16 August 2024?

Started May 08, 2024 02:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 16, 2024 07:01AM UTC

The S&P 500 Index is one of the most followed indices for equity markets in the world (Investopedia - S&P 500). The question will be suspended on 15 August 2024 and the outcome determined using data from S&P as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Less than 4,200 0% 0% -0.33% -1.00%
At least 4,200, but less than 4,400 0% 0% -0.33% -2.00%
At least 4,400, but less than 4,600 1.00% 0% +0.33% -2.00%
At least 4,600, but less than 4,800 2.00% 0% +0.44% -3.00%
At least 4,800, but less than 5,000 7.00% -1.00% +1.00% -4.00%
At least 5,000, but less than 5,200 12.00% -1.00% -5.83% -6.00%
At least 5,200, but less than 5,400 31.00% 0% -4.11% +6.00%
At least 5,400, but less than 5,600 31.00% +2.00% +5.33% +15.00%
At least 5,600, but less than 5,800 12.00% 0% +3.11% -2.00%
At least 5,800, but less than 6,000 3.00% 0% +0.22% 0%
6,000 or more 1.00% 0% +0.17% -1.00%

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