UBS asks:
What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on 16 August 2024?
Started
May 08, 2024 02:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 16, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Closing Aug 16, 2024 07:01AM UTC
The S&P 500 Index is one of the most followed indices for equity markets in the world (Investopedia - S&P 500). The question will be suspended on 15 August 2024 and the outcome determined using data from S&P as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED).
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week |
|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 4,200 | 0.19% | +0.19% | -0.81% |
| At least 4,200, but less than 4,400 | 0.38% | +0.38% | -1.62% |
| At least 4,400, but less than 4,600 | 0.94% | -0.06% | -2.06% |
| At least 4,600, but less than 4,800 | 4.81% | -0.19% | -0.19% |
| At least 4,800, but less than 5,000 | 10.94% | -1.06% | -0.06% |
| At least 5,000, but less than 5,200 | 14.19% | -1.81% | -7.81% |
| At least 5,200, but less than 5,400 | 23.56% | -1.44% | -6.44% |
| At least 5,400, but less than 5,600 | 19.81% | -0.19% | +3.81% |
| At least 5,600, but less than 5,800 | 18.94% | +2.94% | +12.94% |
| At least 5,800, but less than 6,000 | 4.88% | +0.88% | +1.88% |
| 6,000 or more | 1.38% | +0.38% | +0.38% |