UBS asks:
What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on 16 August 2024?
Started
May 08, 2024 02:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 16, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Closing Aug 16, 2024 07:01AM UTC
The S&P 500 Index is one of the most followed indices for equity markets in the world (Investopedia - S&P 500). The question will be suspended on 15 August 2024 and the outcome determined using data from S&P as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED).
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 4,200 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| At least 4,200, but less than 4,400 | 0% | 0% | -5.00% | 0% |
| At least 4,400, but less than 4,600 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| At least 4,600, but less than 4,800 | 0% | 0% | 0% | -0.15% |
| At least 4,800, but less than 5,000 | 1.00% | -1.00% | 0% | -0.75% |
| At least 5,000, but less than 5,200 | 4.00% | 0% | +1.00% | -4.35% |
| At least 5,200, but less than 5,400 | 21.00% | +1.00% | +10.00% | -7.35% |
| At least 5,400, but less than 5,600 | 45.00% | +3.00% | +12.00% | +2.70% |
| At least 5,600, but less than 5,800 | 25.00% | -2.00% | -11.00% | +9.65% |
| At least 5,800, but less than 6,000 | 4.00% | -1.00% | -6.00% | +1.00% |
| 6,000 or more | 0% | 0% | -1.00% | -0.75% |