ALabinsky asks:

What will be voter turnout in France for the 2024 European Parliamentary elections?

Started May 10, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 09, 2024 07:01AM UTC

As European Parliamentary elections approach, a recent poll indicates a high degree of ignorance and indifference among the electorate in France (France 24). The question will be suspended on 8 June 2024 and the outcome determined using data as reported by the EU (EU Elections). The election is scheduled to take place 8-9 June 2024, depending on where a person votes (Service-Public.fr [in French]).

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The question closed "At least 48%, but less than 54%" with a closing date of 9 June 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 42% 8%
At least 42%, but less than 48% 54%
At least 48%, but less than 54% 38%
At least 54%, but less than 60% 1%
60% or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 20
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 140
Number of Forecasts 46
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 318
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.18144
2.
-0.161373
3.
-0.156973
5.
-0.086763

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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