mbransfield asks:

How much money will Joe Biden's presidential campaign have raised in the 2024 presidential election cycle as of 30 June 2024, according to the Federal Election Commission?

Started May 17, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC

President Biden started out 2024 with a fundraising edge over Donald Trump (CNN). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2024 and the outcome determined using data as reported by the FEC once the campaign's financial reports through 30 June 2024 are published on the FEC's website, expected in July 2024 (FEC, click on the candidate’s name to see the coverage dates corresponding to the reported receipts and other additional details). From 1 January 2021 to 31 March 2024, Biden raised $170,621,147.89. A chart showing fundraising data for Biden over time is maintained by Ballotpedia (Ballotpedia). Please note that these figures do not include political action committee receipts.

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The question closed "At least $260 million, but less than $305 million" with a closing date of 1 July 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $260 million 3%
At least $260 million, but less than $305 million 71%
At least $305 million, but less than $350 million 20%
At least $350 million, but less than $395 million 5%
At least $395 million, but less than $440 million 1%
At least $440 million, but less than $485 million 0%
$485 million or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 20
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 140
Number of Forecasts 69
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 318
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.107062
2.
-0.091351
3.
-0.052663
4.
-0.048174
5.
-0.043812

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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