Probahilliby asks:

How much money will Donald Trump's presidential campaign have raised in the 2024 presidential election cycle as of 30 June 2024, according to the Federal Election Commission?

Started May 17, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC

President Biden started out 2024 with a fundraising edge over Donald Trump (CNN). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2024 and the outcome determined using data as reported by the FEC once the campaign's financial reports through 30 June 2024 are published on the FEC's website, expected in July 2024 (FEC, click on the candidate’s name to see the coverage dates corresponding to the reported receipts and other additional details). From 15 November 2022 to 31 March 2024, Trump raised $114,718,623.74. A chart showing fundraising data for Trump over time is maintained by Ballotpedia (Ballotpedia). Please note that these figures do not include political action committee receipts.

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The question closed "At least $196 million, but less than $232 million" with a closing date of 1 July 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $160 million 0%
At least $160 million, but less than $196 million 5%
At least $196 million, but less than $232 million 53%
At least $232 million, but less than $268 million 27%
At least $268 million, but less than $304 million 10%
At least $304 million, but less than $340 million 4%
At least $340 million, but less than $376 million 1%
$376 million or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 20
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 140
Number of Forecasts 77
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 318
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.033906
2.
-0.030811
3.
-0.016939
4.
-0.015565

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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