In October 2024, what percentage of Americans will say "Immigration" the most important problem facing the US today, according to Gallup?
Started
May 17, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 18, 2024 09:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 18, 2024 09:00PM UTC
Challenges
Immigration became the top problem in the US in polling done by Gallup in 2024 for the first time since 2019 (Gallup, Politico). The question will be suspended on 31 October 2024 if still open and the outcome determined using data as reported by Gallup for October 2024 (Gallup - Most Important Problem).
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The question closed "At least 18%, but less than 22%" with a closing date of 18 October 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 14% | 0% | |
| At least 14%, but less than 18% | 5% | |
| At least 18%, but less than 22% | 50% | |
| At least 22%, but less than 26% | 42% | |
| At least 26%, but less than 30% | 3% | |
| At least 30%, but less than 34% | 0% | |
| 34% or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 38 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 185 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 206 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 538 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
