erikbays asks:
Will Joe Biden be officially nominated as the Democratic Party's nominee for president in 2024?
Closed Jul 21, 2024 05:46PM UTC
President Biden's plan to debate Trump far earlier than normal in a presidential election cycle has raised speculation that it could open the door to someone other than Biden getting the Democratic nomination (Nate Silver). The question will close upon the Democratic Party formally nominating a candidate as its nominee or Biden publicly announcing that he will neither seek nor accept the Democratic nomination. The Democratic National Convention is scheduled to be held in Chicago, Illinois, for 19-22 August 2024. If no presidential candidate has been nominated by the Democratic Party before 23 August 2024, the close date will be extended.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 21 July 2024.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 26% | |
No | 74% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 173 |
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 165 | |
Number of Forecasts | 748 |
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 433 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |