Will the Georgian Dream party win a majority of seats in the next Georgian parliamentary election?
Closing Oct 26, 2024 07:01AM UTC
With parliamentary elections approaching, Georgia is gripped by a major political fight over a "foreign agents" law that opponents fear will pull the country away from the EU and closer to Moscow (BBC, Politico, NPR). The People's Power party split from GD in 2022, and People's Power registered as a political party in March 2024 (Georgia Today, Civil Georgia). In the event of a split in a party or a merger of parties, further resolution instructions will be provided. As of the launch of this question, the election is scheduled for 26 October 2024 (Georgian Public Broadcaster). A majority is more than 50%.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes, GD will win a majority of seats | 39.20% | +0.90% | -10.00% |
| No, but GD and the People's Power party combined will win a majority of seats | 30.50% | +0.20% | +3.50% |
| No, and GD and the People's Power party combined will not win a majority of seats | 30.30% | -1.10% | +6.50% |