Will Moody's downgrade its long-term credit rating for the United States before 16 November 2024?

Started May 24, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 16, 2024 08:01AM UTC
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On 10 November 2023, Moody's Investor Service (Moody's) changed its ratings outlook to negative, citing higher interest rates and fiscal deficits (The Hill, CNBC). Moody's, one of the "Big Three" global credit rating agencies that assigns ratings on a borrower's likelihood of repaying its debts, was the only member of the Big Three to have a AAA rating for the US as of the launch of this question (Investopedia, Trading Economics).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 15.82% -0.09% -0.09% +3.82%
No 84.18% +0.09% +0.09% -3.82%

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