What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on 30 September 2024?

Started May 31, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 30, 2024 07:01AM UTC

The S&P 500 Index is one of the most followed indices for equity markets in the world (Investopedia - S&P 500). The question will be suspended on 29 September 2024 and the outcome determined using data from S&P as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED).

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The question closed "At least 5,750, but less than 6,000" with a closing date of 30 September 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 4,250 0%
At least 4,250, but less than 4,500 0%
At least 4,500, but less than 4,750 0%
At least 4,750, but less than 5,000 1%
At least 5,000, but less than 5,250 1%
At least 5,250, but less than 5,500 6%
At least 5,500, but less than 5,750 57%
At least 5,750, but less than 6,000 35%
At least 6,000, but less than 6,250 0%
6,250 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 57
Average for questions older than 6 months: 188
Number of Forecasts 396
Average for questions older than 6 months: 545
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.209998
2.
-0.164329
3.
-0.145312
4.
-0.123565
5.
-0.111691

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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