How many total vehicles will be sold in the US in the third quarter of 2024?

Started May 31, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC

The average age of vehicles on US roads hit a record of 12.6 years in 2024 as interest rates and auto prices temper demand for new vehicles (Voice of America). The question will be suspended on 30 September 2024 and the outcome determined by adding monthly Total Vehicle Sales data from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis for July, August, and September 2024 as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED) once September 2024 data are first available, expected in October 2024 (FRED). As of the launch of this question, a total of 4.088253 million vehicles were sold in the third quarter of 2023.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Fewer than 3.6 million 4.00% -1.00% -1.00% 0%
At least 3.6 million, but fewer than 3.9 million 26.00% +3.00% -1.00% +2.00%
At least 3.9 million, but fewer than 4.2 million 49.00% 0% 0% -3.00%
At least 4.2 million, but fewer than 4.5 million 16.00% -2.00% 0% -2.00%
At least 4.5 million, but fewer than 4.8 million 5.00% 0% +3.00% +3.00%
4.8 million or more 0% 0% -1.00% 0%

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