Before 28 December 2024, will the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) execute a military strike within the territory of Iran?

Started Jun 28, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 28, 2024 08:01AM UTC

Iran and Israel traded missile and drone attacks in April 2024 after Israel bombed an Iranian consular building in Syria and killed several Revolutionary Guard officers (BBC). Israel has stated that it would not allow Iran to possess a nuclear weapon, which is widely seen to include a possible military strike by Israel against Iran (Axios, Voice of America, Al Jazeera). The geographic origin of and weaponry used in a military strike would be immaterial so long as the weapon detonates or discharges on Iranian territory. A cyberattack alone would not count. Actions not executed by the IDF would not count (e.g., covert assassinations of nuclear scientists). A strike in or over Iranian territorial waters would not count.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week
Yes 41.16% +6.60% +15.53%
No 58.84% -6.60% -15.54%

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