For which month will the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) next report 7.0 million or fewer job openings in the US?

Started Jul 12, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC

The number of job openings in the US has come down from post-COVID highs, but they remain elevated despite high interest rates (AP). The question will be suspended on 31 March 2025 if still open and the outcome determined using BLS data as first reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED, BLS - JOLTS Release Schedule). As of the launch of this question, the total number of job openings reported for March 2024 was 8,355 (in thousands), or 8.355 million. Subsequent revisions will be immaterial.

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The question closed "Not before April 2025" with a closing date of 1 April 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Between July 2024 and September 2024 0%
Between October 2024 and December 2024 0%
Between January 2025 and March 2025 10%
Not before April 2025 90%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 32
Average for questions older than 6 months: 176
Number of Forecasts 123
Average for questions older than 6 months: 517
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.14142
3.
-0.130276
4.
-0.089176
5.
-0.070639

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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