judel asks:

When will new Knesset elections be called in Israel?

Started Aug 02, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC

While new parliamentary elections for Israel's Knesset aren't due until 2026, various political groups in the country have called for early elections to be set (France 24, Yahoo [Bloomberg]). The actual date set for new Knesset elections is immaterial.

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The question closed "Not before 1 August 2025" with a closing date of 1 August 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 1 November 2024 0%
Between 1 November 2024 and 30 January 2025 0%
Between 31 January 2025 and 1 May 2025 0%
Between 2 May 2025 and 31 July 2025 1%
Not before 1 August 2025 99%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 68
Average for questions older than 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 302
Average for questions older than 6 months: 474
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.105531
3.
-0.105429
4.
-0.076549
5.
-0.0568

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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