What will be the closing value of the NASDAQ Composite Index on 31 December 2024?

Started Aug 30, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2024 08:01AM UTC

The NASDAQ Composite Index is a market capitalization-weighted index of stocks listed on the tech-heavy NASDAQ Stock Exchange (Investopedia). The question will be suspended on 30 December 2024 and the outcome determined using data from NASDAQ as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED). On 26 August 2024, the closing value was 17,725.76.

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The question closed "At least 18,750, but less than 19,500" with a closing date of 31 December 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 14,250 0%
At least 14,250, but less than 15,000 0%
At least 15,000, but less than 15,750 0%
At least 15,750, but less than 16,500 0%
At least 16,500, but less than 17,250 0%
At least 17,250, but less than 18,000 0%
At least 18,000, but less than 18,750 0%
At least 18,750, but less than 19,500 23%
At least 19,500, but less than 20,250 65%
At least 20,250, but less than 21,000 12%
21,000 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 41
Average for questions older than 6 months: 178
Number of Forecasts 302
Average for questions older than 6 months: 521
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.104795
2.
-0.066309
3.
-0.061126
4.
-0.055939
5.
-0.052361

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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