In State of Utah v. US, will the Supreme Court allow Utah to sue the federal government to transfer unappropriated federal land to state control?
Closed Jan 13, 2025 02:30PM UTC
In August 2024, Utah filed a motion with the Supreme Court to hear its claim in the first instance (i.e., exercising original jurisdiction) against the federal government that it is illegally controlling approximately 18.5 million acres of land in the state, an area roughly the size of South Carolina (AP, Utah Attorney General, Field and Stream, Cornell - Original Jurisdiction). The Supreme Court will be considered to have allowed Utah to sue upon granting Utah's motion for leave to file a bill of complaint (Supreme Court - Motion for Leave to File Bill of Complaint, Supreme Court Docket - Utah v. US). The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its ruling on the motion in its 2024 term, but if it does not, the question will close as "No."
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 13 January 2025.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 59% | |
No | 41% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 26 |
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 159 | |
Number of Forecasts | 77 |
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 421 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |