Maxheadroom1 asks:

Before 5 November 2024, will Jill Stein and/or Cornel West endorse Kamala Harris for president in 2024?

Started Sep 20, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC

Green Party presidential candidate Jill Stein and independent candidate Cornel West, both generally considered left-wing individuals, have been accused of potentially playing spoilers in Donald Trump's favor in the 2024 presidential campaign (USA Today, Newsweek, The Hill, AP). An endorsement of Harris must be unequivocal to count.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "No" with a closing date of 5 November 2024.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes, only Jill Stein 0%
Yes, only Cornel West 4%
Yes, both Jill Stein and Cornel West 1%
No 95%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 73
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 135
Number of Forecasts 135
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 309
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.002659
3.
-0.002659
4.
-0.002659
5.
-0.002659

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username