When will all work stoppages (either strikes or lockouts) involving the International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA) union and the US Maritime Alliance (USMX) cease?
Closed Oct 03, 2024 11:00PM UTC
On 1 October 2024, the ILA began a strike impacting US ports from Maine to Texas, impacting billions of dollars of commerce per day (AP, CNBC). The US Chamber of Commerce has called on President Biden to invoke the Taft-Hartley Act to prevent the strike, but Biden has stated that he will not intervene (US Chamber of Commerce, CBS News). A strike will be considered to have ceased as of the date and time the ILA announces the strike has ended or will end, not necessarily when employees return to work (e.g., if the ILA announces on a Monday that the strike will end on the following Tuesday, the question will close as of Tuesday). If the strike pauses or ends due to Taft-Hartley being invoked, the strike will be considered to have ceased as of the date and time its invocation takes effect.
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The question closed "Between 3 October 2024 and 6 October 2024" with a closing date of 3 October 2024.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Before 3 October 2024 | 1% | |
Between 3 October 2024 and 6 October 2024 | 18% | |
Between 7 October 2024 and 13 October 2024 | 25% | |
Between 14 October 2024 and 27 October 2024 | 32% | |
Between 28 October 2024 and 10 November 2024 | 10% | |
Not before 11 November 2024 | 14% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 19 |
Average for questions in their first week: 55 | |
Number of Forecasts | 35 |
Average for questions in their first week: 74 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |