Will China add US clothing company PVH Group to its "Unreliable Entity List" before 1 March 2025?

Started Oct 04, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 04, 2025 06:00AM UTC

On 24 September 2024, the Chinese Ministry of Commerce announced that it was investigating PVH Group, which owns brands including Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger, for its alleged boycott of cotton from Xinjiang (BBC, Fashion Dive, China Ministry of Commerce [in Mandarin]). The consequence could be PVH Group added to China's "Unreliable Entity List," which would likely lead to sanctions (Winston & Strawn).

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 3 February 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 47%
No 53%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 32
Average for questions older than 6 months: 180
Number of Forecasts 87
Average for questions older than 6 months: 527
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.669025
2.
-0.619052
3.
-0.368143
4.
-0.352475
5.
-0.340193

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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