When will the US next report continued unemployment claims reaching or exceeding two million for two consecutive weeks?

Started Oct 04, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 14, 2025 07:01AM UTC

Continuing claims (aka continued claims) for unemployment insurance are reported weekly by the Department of Labor and a useful measure of the health of the labor market (Investopedia - Continuing Claims). The outcome will be determined using Department of Labor data as first reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database and based on the date of reporting, typically Thursdays for the week ending the previous Saturday (FRED). Subsequent revisions will be immaterial (e.g., if a week is reported at 2 million but is subsequently revised to 1.99 million, that date would count as reaching or exceeding two million).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Before 6 December 2024 0.80% 0% -0.10% -0.40%
Between 6 December 2024 and 6 February 2025 3.40% 0% -0.50% +0.40%
Between 7 February 2025 and 10 April 2025 20.20% -1.50% -1.60% +5.00%
Between 11 April 2025 and 12 June 2025 21.60% +1.50% +1.80% +6.60%
Between 13 June 2025 and 14 August 2025 20.00% 0% +0.30% +8.00%
Not before 15 August 2025 34.00% 0% +0.10% -19.60%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username