How many total Southwest Land Border Encounters will be reported in the US from January 2025 through June 2025 by US Customs and Border Protection (CBP)?
Closed Jul 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
While the number of illegal border crossings at the US' border with Mexico trended down in the summer of 2024, the matter remains a major political issue (CNN, ABC 7). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2025 and the outcome determined using data as reported by CBP for the calendar months of January 2025 through June 2025 once data for June 2025 are first reported (CBP). As of the launch of this question, CBP reported a total of 1,036,344 encounters in the US southwest between January 2024 and June 2024.
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The question closed "Fewer than 360,000" with a closing date of 1 July 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 360,000 | 99% | |
| At least 360,000, but fewer than 540,000 | 1% | |
| At least 540,000, but fewer than 720,000 | 0% | |
| At least 720,000, but fewer than 900,000 | 0% | |
| At least 900,000, but fewer than 1,080,000 | 0% | |
| At least 1,080,000, but fewer than 1,260,000 | 0% | |
| At least 1,260,000, but fewer than 1,440,000 | 0% | |
| 1,440,000 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 26 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 159 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 475 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
