When will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be the prime minister of Israel?
Started
Oct 18, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Closed Dec 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
While Netanyahu continues to face backlash from the families of Israelis still held by Hamas, his political support has increased amid the country's fight with Hezbollah in Lebanon (NBC News, BBC, US News & World Report).
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The question closed "Not before 1 December 2025" with a closing date of 1 December 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Before 4 March 2025 | 0% | |
| Between 4 March 2025 and 17 July 2025 | 1% | |
| Between 18 July 2025 and 30 November 2025 | 2% | |
| Not before 1 December 2025 | 97% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 175 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 465 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 475 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
