When will the United Nations Security Council give a mandate for a foreign (i.e., non-Israeli) peacekeeping force to operate in Gaza with the consent of Israel?
Closed Nov 17, 2025 10:08PM UTC
Leaders in the Middle East and around the world are considering options for the "day after" fighting in Gaza ends, including a potential peacekeeping force (i24 News, Al Jazeera, Atlantic Council, NYU - Center on International Cooperation). Whether Israel has provided consent will be determined using credible, open-source reporting but must be current as of a mandate being given, and the timing of actual deployment is immaterial.
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The question closed "Between 31 July 2025 and 20 December 2025" with a closing date of 17 November 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Before 10 March 2025 | 0% | |
| Between 10 March 2025 and 30 July 2025 | 2% | |
| Between 31 July 2025 and 20 December 2025 | 14% | |
| Not before 21 December 2025 | 84% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 395 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 700 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 474 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
