Oiram18 asks:

Will India extradite former Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina to Bangladesh before 25 April 2025?

Started Oct 25, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 25, 2025 07:01AM UTC

A tribunal in Bangladesh has issued an arrest warrant for former Bangladeshi Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina, who resigned and fled to India amid widespread protests in July and August 2024 (BBC, AP). Whether India will extradite Hasina to its neighbor remains to be seen (Deutsche Welle, Indian Express). Hasina must be in Bangladeshi custody in Bangladesh to count, and extradition from a country other than India will not count.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 25 April 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 4%
No 96%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 73
Average for questions older than 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 164
Average for questions older than 6 months: 474
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.00023
3.
-0.00023
4.
-0.00023
5.
-0.00023

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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