Oiram18 asks:
Will India extradite former Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina to Bangladesh before 25 April 2025?
Closed Apr 25, 2025 07:01AM UTC
A tribunal in Bangladesh has issued an arrest warrant for former Bangladeshi Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina, who resigned and fled to India amid widespread protests in July and August 2024 (BBC, AP). Whether India will extradite Hasina to its neighbor remains to be seen (Deutsche Welle, Indian Express). Hasina must be in Bangladeshi custody in Bangladesh to count, and extradition from a country other than India will not count.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "No" with a closing date of 25 April 2025.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 4% | |
| No | 96% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 73 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 164 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 474 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |