Violence in Pakistan's Balochistan province has flared among some notable incidents in 2024, which poses broader implications for Pakistan as a whole (AP, ABC News (Australia), Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty). The question will be suspended on 31 October 2025 if still open and the outcome determined using data as reported by the Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED) Explorer (ACLED). On the left side of the screen, (1) select "Fatality Counts," (2) select "All Event Types," (3) select "Custom Date Range" and set the date range as appropriate, (4) select nothing, (5) select only "Pakistan," (6) select "Yes," which will present a drop-down menu from which you will select only "Balochistan," (7) select "Admin1," (8) select "No," (9) select "No," (10) select "Yes" and choose "Month," and click "Run Calculations." As of the launch of this question, ACLED reported 742 total fatalities in Balochistan due to conflicts and protests in the first nine months (1 January through 30 September) of 2024. Data will be accessed for resolution no sooner than 17 November 2025, unless ACLED reports fatalities in excess of 3,000 before 17 November 2025.

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NOTE 5 August 2025: ACLED has substantially changed its interface and accessibility for data. We are reviewing options to for data access that will be consistent with the resolution criteria as of launch, and we have contacted ACLED to work through this. We will provide further updates as they are available. You should be able to create an account with ACLED as an "other" user to access some data, but not with the granularity that used to be afforded by ACLED Explorer.

NOTE 12 August 2025: As previously noted, ACLED has substantially changed its interface and accessibility for data, and efforts to seek an accommodation have not borne fruit. However, after reviewing ACLED data options now currently available, there is an imperfect but reasonable workaround. The outcome will now be determined using "Aggregated data on Asia-Pacific," which includes fatalities data (ACLED - Asia-Pacific Data, see "Pakistan" under "COUNTRY" and "Balochistan" under "ADMIN1"). These data are recorded by week (the date shown is the first day of the week depicted, so "05-July-2025" would cover 5-11 July 2025. The outcome will be determined by summing up the fatalities for the week starting 26 October 2024 through the week starting 25 October 2025 no sooner than 17 November 2025. Since the data for these weeks include a few days outside of the original date range, if the answer bin that is ultimately correct is dependent on the fatalities for the weeks of 26 October 2024 and 25 October 2025 and daily data from ACLED cannot be otherwise acquired, the question will be voided. Thank you for your patience as we adjust to ACLED's changes.

The question closed "At least 2,000, but fewer than 3,000" with a closing date of 1 November 2025.

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