tabhuth_ asks:
Which US presidential candidate will win Iowa?
Started
Nov 03, 2024 03:50AM UTC
Closed Nov 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Closed Nov 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
Conflicting polls in Iowa in the days before the 2024 presidential election have put a spotlight on a state that Donald Trump twice won (CNN, The Hill). The outcome will be determined based on which candidate wins the popular vote in the state.
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The question closed "The Republican Party candidate" with a closing date of 5 November 2024.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
The Democratic Party candidate | 36% | |
The Republican Party candidate | 64% | |
Someone else | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 92 |
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 133 | |
Number of Forecasts | 129 |
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 305 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |