sigis asks:
Will Călin Georgescu win the 2024 Romanian presidential election runoff?
Closed Mar 11, 2025 05:30PM UTC
After Romania's Constitutional Court validated the results of the first round of the 2024 presidential election held on 24 November 2024, the runoff between pro-Moscow independent Călin Georgescu and the liberal Save Romania Union party candidate Elena Lasconi is set for 8 December 2024 (AP, Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, Politico).
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NOTE 6 December 2024: Due to the ruling of Romania's Constitutional Court today, the runoff election scheduled for 8 December 2024 will not take place and the election will be "entirely redone." This question will remain open until a new runoff for president is held. However, if Georgescu fails to reach a new runoff election or is barred from running in the new election, the question will close "No." The end date has also been extended, and a replacement election held in 2024 will be considered the 2024 election.
The question closed "No" with a closing date of 11 March 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 11% | |
| No | 89% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 39 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 182 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 474 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |