What will be the closing value of the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index on 26 September 2025?
Closed Sep 26, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Chinese stocks gained momentum in the second half of 2024 on hopes of government stimulus for the lagging economy, but the outlook for 2025 remains unclear (Yahoo [Bloomberg], MSN [Wall Street Journal], MarketWatch). The question will be suspended on 25 September 2025 and the outcome determined using data reported in the US (your location in the world may impact how the site dates prices) by Google Finance (Google Finance, set chart to "6M"). On 16 December 2024, the closing value of the Shanghai Composite Index was 3,386.33.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "At least 3,800, but less than 4,000" with a closing date of 26 September 2025.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 2,400 | 1% | |
| At least 2,400, but less than 2,600 | 0% | |
| At least 2,600, but less than 2,800 | 0% | |
| At least 2,800, but less than 3,000 | 0% | |
| At least 3,000, but less than 3,200 | 0% | |
| At least 3,200, but less than 3,400 | 1% | |
| At least 3,400, but less than 3,600 | 1% | |
| At least 3,600, but less than 3,800 | 13% | |
| At least 3,800, but less than 4,000 | 81% | |
| At least 4,000, but less than 4,200 | 2% | |
| 4,200 or more | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 47 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 218 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 475 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
