Before 1 January 2026, will Taiwan publicly accuse the People's Republic of China of landing military personnel on the Pratas Islands without authorization?
Started
Dec 27, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
Taiwan has raised concerns regarding potential actions by the People's Republic of China in the Pratas Islands (Taipei Times, Voice of America, News.com.au).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2026.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 15% | |
| No | 85% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 83 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 154 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 215 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 458 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | worse than average |
