Will Moody's downgrade its long-term credit rating for China before 2 August 2025?
Started
Dec 27, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 02, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Closed Aug 02, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
On 5 December 2023, Moody's Investor Service (Moody's) changed its ratings outlook for China to negative, citing surging local government debt and a deepening property crisis (Voice of America, CNBC, Moody's - 5 December 2023, Investopedia, Trading Economics).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 2 August 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | |
| No | 97% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 55 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 178 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 474 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
