Foxes ask:
How many new electric vehicles (EVs) will be sold in the US in 2025, according to Kelley Blue Book?
Closed Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
EV sales in the US grew again in 2024, but higher financing costs and tax subsidy skepticism in the new Trump administration may blunt further expansion (AP, NASDAQ). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2025 and the outcome determined using data as first reported by Kelley Blue Book (KBB), a subsidiary of Cox Automotive, expected in January 2026. On 13 January 2025, KBB reported that 1,301,411 EVs were sold in the US in 2024 (KBB - Q4 2024 Electric Vehicle Sales Report).
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The question closed "At least 1.15 million, but fewer than 1.30 million" with a closing date of 1 January 2026.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 1.15 million | 1% | |
| At least 1.15 million, but fewer than 1.30 million | 84% | |
| At least 1.30 million, but fewer than 1.45 million | 15% | |
| At least 1.45 million, but fewer than 1.60 million | 0% | |
| At least 1.60 million, but fewer than 1.75 million | 0% | |
| At least 1.75 million, but fewer than 1.90 million | 0% | |
| At least 1.90 million, but fewer than 2.05 million | 0% | |
| At least 2.05 million, but fewer than 2.20 million | 0% | |
| 2.20 million or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 27 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 154 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 164 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 458 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
