Will Russia officially recognize the Autonomous Territorial Unit of Gagauzia (Gagauzia) in Moldova as an independent state or otherwise as not a part of the Republic of Moldova before 22 December 2025?
Started
Jan 24, 2025 06:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 22, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Closed Dec 22, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
As Russia's war in Ukraine continues, concerns continue that Russia may foment unrest in Moldova by recognizing Gagauzia, an autonomous region in the country's south (Deutsche Welle, IPN Press Agency, Trends Research, GIS).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 22 December 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | |
| No | 97% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 78 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 156 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 246 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 464 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
