Kilvo29 asks:

How many Formula One Grand Prix races will Lewis Hamilton win in 2025?

Started Jan 31, 2025 06:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 23, 2025 05:30AM UTC

Formula One driver Lewis Hamilton, who won multiple championship titles in his career, left the Mercedes team and will drive for Ferrari in 2025 (Sports Illustrated, MSN [Daily Mail]). As of the launch of this question, there were 24 Grand Prix weekends scheduled for 2025, and sprint races will not count (Formula 1, ESPN). The question will close early if Hamilton, for whatever reason, will not be able to participate in another race in the season.

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The question closed "2 or fewer" with a closing date of 22 November 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
2 or fewer 98%
Between 3 and 5 2%
Between 6 and 8 0%
Between 9 and 11 0%
Between 12 and 14 0%
15 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 74
Average for questions older than 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 199
Average for questions older than 6 months: 475
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.159808
2.
-0.152709
3.
-0.138629
5.
-0.125617

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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