Before 18 October 2025, will a US federal court issue declaratory and/or injunctive relief preventing the City of Chicago from enforcing any part of its "Welcoming City Ordinance?"
Closed Oct 18, 2025 07:01AM UTC
On 6 February 2025, the US Department of Justice (DOJ) sued the City of Chicago, Cook County, Illinois, and the State of Illinois to prevent them from enforcing their respective "sanctuary" policies that bar their cooperation with federal immigration enforcement (AP, ABC 7 Chicago, Court Listener - US v. Illinois). Specific to Chicago, the DOJ sued to prevent enforcement of its "Welcoming City Ordinance" (Chicago Municipal Code 2-173). A preliminary or permanent injunction preventing enforcement will count, as will a declaratory judgment that the law is illegal and/or unconstitutional (Cornell - Declaratory Judgment, Cornell - Injunctive Relief). A settlement between the parties that would prevent enforcement of any part of its Welcoming City Ordinance will count, and a judgment or injunction preventing New York from enforcing part, but not necessarily all, of the law will count.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "No" with a closing date of 18 October 2025.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | |
| No | 95% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 38 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 103 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 474 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |