What will be the national average price of a gallon of gasoline on 3 July 2025, according to the American Automobile Association (AAA)?

Started Feb 14, 2025 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 03, 2025 07:01AM UTC

The question will be suspended on 2 July 2025 and the outcome determined using data as reported by AAA for 3 July 2025 (AAA, see "Today's AAA National Average" graphic).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "At least $3.10, but less than $3.30" with a closing date of 3 July 2025.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $2.30 0%
At least $2.30, but less than $2.50 0%
At least $2.50, but less than $2.70 0%
At least $2.70, but less than $2.90 0%
At least $2.90, but less than $3.10 1%
At least $3.10, but less than $3.30 91%
At least $3.30, but less than $3.50 7%
At least $3.50, but less than $3.70 1%
At least $3.70, but less than $3.90 0%
At least $3.90, but less than $4.10 0%
At least $4.10, but less than $4.30 0%
At least $4.30, but less than $4.50 0%
At least $4.50, but less than $4.70 0%
$4.70 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 20
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 146
Number of Forecasts 137
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 392
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters worse than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.062902
2.
-0.050649
3.
-0.048948
4.
-0.045085
5.
-0.038753

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username