probahilliby asks:

Will Travis Kelce publicly announce his retirement from the NFL before 16 March 2025?

Started Feb 17, 2025 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 16, 2025 07:01AM UTC

Star football tight end Travis Kelce has reportedly been given a deadline to decide whether he will continue to play for the Kansas City Chiefs (Yahoo [The Blast], Bleacher Report, NBC Philadelphia). An announcement authorized by Kelce will count, as would a statement that he will no longer play in the NFL.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "No" with a closing date of 16 March 2025.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 4%
No 96%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 99
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 127
Number of Forecasts 201
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 292
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.04983
3.
-0.044478
4.
-0.044478
5.
-0.039848

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username