Before 25 October 2025, will a US federal court issue declaratory and/or injunctive relief preventing the State of New York from enforcing any part of its "Green Light Law?"
Closed Oct 25, 2025 07:01AM UTC
On 12 February 2025, the US Department of Justice (DOJ) sued the State of New York and various state officials to prevent them from enforcing the "Green Light Law," which provides for driver licenses for illegal immigrants, bars the state from sharing information collected with federal immigration enforcement authorities, and requires that an individual be notified if there is a request for their information (CBS, N.Y. Veh. & Traf. § 201.12, see "12," US v. State of New York). A preliminary or permanent injunction preventing enforcement will count, as will a declaratory judgment that the law is illegal and/or unconstitutional (Cornell - Declaratory Judgment, Cornell - Injunctive Relief). A settlement between the parties that would prevent enforcement of any part of the Green Light Law will count, and a judgment or injunction preventing New York from enforcing part, but not necessarily all, of the law will count.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 25 October 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 7% | |
| No | 93% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 59 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 143 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 474 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |