What will be the spot price per million BTUs for natural gas on 30 June 2025?

Started Feb 26, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 30, 2025 07:01AM UTC

Natural gas prices in the US have risen as cold weather has increased demand and producers look forward to higher exports with the regulatory environmental change that has come with the Trump administration (Pipe & Gas Journal, EIA - Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report, MSN [Barchart]). The question will be suspended on 29 June 2025 and the outcome determined using the spot price per million British thermal units (BTUs) per the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED, EIA - British thermal units). On 28 June 2024, the spot price for natural gas was $2.42.

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The question closed "At least $3.20, but less than $3.80" with a closing date of 30 June 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $2.00 0%
At least $2.00, but less than $2.60 2%
At least $2.60, but less than $3.20 23%
At least $3.20, but less than $3.80 63%
At least $3.80, but less than $4.40 12%
At least $4.40, but less than $5.00 0%
At least $5.00, but less than $5.60 0%
At least $5.60, but less than $6.20 0%
At least $6.20, but less than $6.80 0%
$6.80 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 43
Average for questions older than 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 282
Average for questions older than 6 months: 474
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.077937
2.
-0.053121
3.
-0.050421
4.
-0.044927
5.
-0.04213

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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