What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on 30 June 2025?

Started Feb 26, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 30, 2025 07:01AM UTC

The S&P 500 Index is one of the most followed indices for equity markets in the world (Investopedia). The question will be suspended on 29 June 2025 and the outcome determined using data from S&P as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED). On 28 June 2024, the closing value was 5,460.48.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "At least 6,000, but less than 6,250" with a closing date of 30 June 2025.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 5,000 0%
At least 5,000, but less than 5,250 0%
At least 5,250, but less than 5,500 0%
At least 5,500, but less than 5,750 0%
At least 5,750, but less than 6,000 6%
At least 6,000, but less than 6,250 86%
At least 6,250, but less than 6,500 8%
At least 6,500, but less than 6,750 0%
At least 6,750, but less than 7,000 0%
7,000 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 70
Average for questions older than 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 491
Average for questions older than 6 months: 475
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.148657
2.
-0.118806
3.
-0.115033
4.
-0.114851
5.
-0.108355

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username