Kinnaj asks:
Will Friedrich Merz be sworn in as chancellor of Germany before 3 May 2025?
Closed May 03, 2025 07:01AM UTC
With his CDU/CSU alliance coming in first in federal elections on 23 February 2025, CDU leader Friedrich Merz has called for a deal on a new government to be reached by Easter (20 April 2025) (ABC News, Anadolu Agency, Guardian). Per German Basic Law Article 63, the chancellor is elected by the Bundestag and appointed by the president (Federal Ministry of Justice, Deutscheland.de).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 3 May 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | |
| No | 99% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 70 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 146 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 231 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 392 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
