Tylerdurden03 asks:

Before 1 January 2026, will Tesla announce that Elon Musk has ceased or will cease to be the company's sole CEO?

Started Mar 14, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC

Elon Musk, Tesla's CEO, has been under pressure with his time divided among other ventures, including X, SpaceX, and DOGE (Yahoo [Fortune], Economic Times, News Nation). An announced leave of absence as CEO or the addition of a co-CEO will count.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2026.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 1%
No 99%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 69
Average for questions older than 6 months: 154
Number of Forecasts 224
Average for questions older than 6 months: 458
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.027133
2.
-0.027133
3.
-0.027133
4.
-0.026944
5.
-0.026919

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username