Will Rumeysa Ozturk be removed from the US before 26 July 2025?

Started Apr 04, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 26, 2025 07:01AM UTC

Rumeysa Ozturk, a Turkish Tufts University student, was detained by Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) on 25 March 2025 and ordered removed (aka deported) from the US, though a judge ordered that she remain in the US while court proceedings continue (CNN, PBS). Ozturk agreeing to leave the US and actually leaving the US will count.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 26 July 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 8%
No 92%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 22
Average for questions older than 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 90
Average for questions older than 6 months: 474
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.233481
2.
-0.163673
3.
-0.131506
4.
-0.12018
5.
-0.100655

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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