In FTC v. Meta Platforms (Facebook), will the trial court rule that Facebook violated federal antitrust law by acquiring Instagram and/or WhatsApp?

Started Apr 18, 2025 04:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
Challenges

On 14 April 2025, the trial began of the FTC's case against Facebook over Facebook's acquisition of Instagram in 2012 and WhatsApp in 2014, claiming that the acquisitions violated antitrust law (CNBC, NPR, BBC, Court Listener - FTC v. Facebook). If the court finds for the FTC as to one acquisition but not the other, the question will close "Yes." If the trial court has not released its decision before 31 December 2025, the closing date will be extended, and any appeals subsequent to findings by the court will be immaterial.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week
Yes 45.20% -2.00% -2.00%
No 54.80% +2.00% +2.00%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username