What will be the year-over-year percentage change in Walmart's adjusted operating income for the first quarter of its fiscal year 2026 (FY2026, February 2025 to April 2025)?
Closed May 15, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Retail giant Walmart announced on 9 April 2025 that it was pulling its guidance for its FY2026 first quarter adjusted operating income that had been an increase of 0.5% to 2.0%, and it also affirmed its sales growth forecast of 3.0% to 4.0% (CNBC, Walmart - Press Release 9 April 2025). The question will be suspended on 14 May 2025 and the outcome will be determined using data reported by Walmart for the first quarter of its FY2026, expected on 15 May 2025. In the fourth quarter of FY2025 (November 2024 to January 2025), adjusted operating income increased from $7,254 million in the fourth quarter of FY2024 to $7,760 million, an increase of 6.97546% (Walmart - Earnings Release FY2025 Q4, see the "Consolidated" table near the bottom of page 11).
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The question closed "An increase of at least 0.0%, but less than 1.0%" with a closing date of 15 May 2025.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
A decrease of more than 2.0% | 3% | |
A decrease of more than 1.0%, but at most 2.0% | 9% | |
A decrease of more than 0.0%, but at most 1.0% | 14% | |
An increase of at least 0.0%, but less than 1.0% | 47% | |
An increase of at least 1.0%, but less than 2.0% | 24% | |
2.0% or more | 3% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 7 |
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 121 | |
Number of Forecasts | 11 |
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 280 |
Accuracy | |
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There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile. |