How many kilograms of coal will the US export to the rest of the world in 2025?

Started Apr 18, 2025 04:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC

On 8 April 2025, President Trump signed an executive order to "reinvigorate" the US' coal industry, including promoting increased exports of the fuel, though tit-for-tat tariffs between China and the US may impact sales to the world's second largest economy (White House - Executive Order 14241, AP, Oil Price). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2025 and the outcome determined using data as reported by the US Census Bureau's USA Trade Online (USA Trade Online, free registration required). After logging in, click "Exports" next to "HS Port-level Data." From here, you will add parameters under "Report contents" on the left side of the page. 1) Click "Measures," then find and leave only "Vessel Total Exports SWT (kg)" selected. 2) Leave "Port" unrevised, as it defaults to "Total All Ports." 3) Click "Commodity," then click the "+" next to "27 Mineral Fuel, Oil Etc.; Bitumin Subst; Mineral Wax" and select "2701 Coal; Briquettes, Ovoids Etc. Mfr From Coal." 4) Click "Country," then select only "World Total." 5) Click "Time," and select the periods for which you want data. After all of those entries, click "Report" in "USA Trade Home --> Data Source Selection --> Report Contents --> Report" near the top of the screen. Export options are available by clicking the icon of the green arrow pointing down. As of the launch of this question, the Census Bureau reported that the US exported 85,159,759,986 kg of coal in 2023, or 85.159759986 billion kg.Tabulated historical data from January 2003 through February 2025 may be downloaded here: Download.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week
Less than 64 billion kg 0.50% 0% 0%
At least 64 billion kg, but less than 72 billion kg 1.10% 0% 0%
At least 72 billion kg, but less than 80 billion kg 19.90% 0% 0%
At least 80 billion kg, but less than 88 billion kg 60.50% 0% 0%
At least 88 billion kg, but less than 96 billion kg 6.00% 0% 0%
At least 96 billion kg, but less than 104 billion kg 8.00% 0% 0%
At least 104 billion kg, but less than 112 billion kg 3.50% 0% 0%
112 billion kg or more 0.50% 0% 0%

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