What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on 20 January 2026?
Started
Apr 25, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 20, 2026 08:01AM UTC
Closed Jan 20, 2026 08:01AM UTC
The S&P 500 Index is one of the most followed indices for equity markets in the world (Investopedia - S&P 500). The question will be suspended on 19 January 2026 and the outcome determined using data from S&P as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED). On 23 April 2025, the closing value was 5,375.86.
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The question closed "At least 6,750, but less than 7,000" with a closing date of 20 January 2026.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 4,000 | 0% | |
| At least 4,000, but less than 4,250 | 0% | |
| At least 4,250, but less than 4,500 | 0% | |
| At least 4,500, but less than 4,750 | 0% | |
| At least 4,750, but less than 5,000 | 0% | |
| At least 5,000, but less than 5,250 | 0% | |
| At least 5,250, but less than 5,500 | 0% | |
| At least 5,500, but less than 5,750 | 0% | |
| At least 5,750, but less than 6,000 | 1% | |
| At least 6,000, but less than 6,250 | 1% | |
| At least 6,250, but less than 6,500 | 1% | |
| At least 6,500, but less than 6,750 | 8% | |
| At least 6,750, but less than 7,000 | 69% | |
| 7,000 or more | 20% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 88 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 154 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 527 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 458 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
